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An old tutor of mine used to say that if you blew up random apartments in a block of flats, it would only take four explosions before the other residents would start second-guessing which one was going next. But he was a bit strange like that.

The Monty Hall problem is the one that really bakes my noodle.
http://www.open2.net/moreorless/montyhallproblem.html

Congrats on being TED's guest blogger. I keep running into you everywhere. I wish I were as popular as you are... **sniff**

Great tip off. Thanks Russell.

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